Covid: China’s cities battle first wave of surge as wider spread looms

Three waves of Covid cases are expected this winter, says country’s chief epidemiologist

Near-empty shelves of medicine are seen at a pharmacy amid the Covid-19 pandemic in Beijing. Photograph: JADE GAO/AFP via Getty Images
Near-empty shelves of medicine are seen at a pharmacy amid the Covid-19 pandemic in Beijing. Photograph: JADE GAO/AFP via Getty Images

Streets in big Chinese cities were quiet on Sunday as people stayed home to protect themselves from a surge in Covid-19 cases that has hit urban centres from north to south.

China is currently in the first of an expected three waves of Covid cases this winter, according to the country's chief epidemiologist, Wu Zunyou. Cases could multiply across the country if people follow typical travel patterns of returning to their home areas in a mass transit movement for the Lunar new year holiday next month.

China is also yet to officially report any Covid deaths since December 7th, when the country abruptly ended most restrictions key to a zero-Covid tolerance policy following unprecedented public protests against the protocol. The strategy had been championed by President Xi Jinping.

As part of the easing of the zero-Covid curbs, mass testing for the virus has ended, casting doubt on whether officially reported case numbers can capture the full scale of the outbreak. China reported some 2,097 new symptomatic Covid infections on December 17th.

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In Beijing, the spread of the highly transmissible Omicron variant has already hit services from catering to parcel deliveries. Funeral homes and crematoriums across the city of 22 million are also struggling to keep up with demand.

Social media posts also showed empty subways in the city of Xian in China's northwest, while internet users complained of delays to deliveries.

In Shanghai, authorities said schools should move most classes online from Monday, and in nearby Hangzhou most school grades were encouraged to finish the winter semester early.

In Guangzhou, those already doing online class as well as preschoolers should not prepare for a return to school, said the education bureau.

Speaking at a conference in Beijing on Saturday, chief epidemiologist Mr Wu of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention said the current outbreak would peak this winter and run in three waves for about three months, according to a state media report of his speech.

The first wave would run from mid-December through mid-January, largely in cities, before a second wave would start from late January to mid-February next year, triggered by the movement of people ahead of the weeklong new year holiday.

China will celebrate Lunar new year starting on January 21st. The holiday normally sees hundreds of millions of people travelling home to spend time with family.

A third wave of cases would run from late February to mid-March as people returned to work after the holiday, Mr Wu said.

A US-based research institute said this week that the country could see an explosion of cases and over a million people in China could die of Covid in 2023. – Reuters