Stocktake: US recession outlook is key for stocks
There’s a big difference between recessionary and non-recessionary bear markets
There’s a big difference between recessionary and non-recessionary bear markets
Long-term investors have no choice but to be patient
Follow the advice of index fund guru John Bogle: Don’t do something, just stand there
Analysts say recession odds are low, and bear market outside of a recession is rare
Investors were lulled into complacency by 2021 but double-digit falls are normal
Prices had lost all touch with reality, but some, such as Zoom, may have over-corrected
Analyst says last year bore most resemblance to 1995, another year of extraordinary gains
There have been as many yearly returns above 40% as returns in the 8%-12% range
S&P 500 stocks skyrocketing to valuations not seen since dotcom bubble
Stocktake: September was difficult for stocks but investors cannot complain
Market volatility non-existent amid recurring new highs
Market reactions to geopolitical unrest can be counter-intuitive
Key index looks less pricey when you exclude the top 10 stocks
Stocks have gained 13%, and the worst peak-to-trough drawdown has been just 4.2%
Since 2010, it has survived four separate declines of at least 80%
No one is attempting to justify some bubble valuations
Unfashionable value stocks soar while growth stocks such as Apple lag behind
Broad-based nature of rally suggests any pullback will not be a long-lasting affair
S&P 500 has gained more than 75 per cent, the best 12 months in its history
There are signs tech’s recent underperformance may not be a short-lived affair
Speculation is ‘running rampant’, but not everything is frothy
The simple reality is markets tend to be nonchalant about socio-political upheaval
Buying all-time highs can be scary but the reality is new highs are normal
Over 70% of fund managers believe contested election poses the biggest risk to equities
Many of the biggest market winners eventually become the biggest losers
Veteran companies Netflix, Facebook, Microsoft, Apple are all continuing to grow
Shares jumped 13 per cent after this week’s announcement of a five-for-one stock split
Paper says that since the 1970s, high gold prices have occurred when there is marked concern about high future inflation
The big five are now so dominant it is creating lopsided daily readings
Day traders are not reflective of overall sentiment
If history is a guide then volatility should abate and stocks should gain over rest of year
Of those who did trade, the vast majority opted to buy rather than sell stocks
Market capitalisation of mega-cap tech stocks as much as bottom 359 stocks in S&P 500
Sell-off a reminder the rollercoaster ride is not over yet
The Financial Times reported Japan’s five main online brokerages recorded over 500,000 new account in March and April
No one foresaw oil prices dropping into negative territory for first time in history
Microsoft’s valuation is now almost as big as that of the FTSE 100, as is Apple’s
Stocks often rise when headlines are negative and fall when headlines are positive
Ordinary investors not panicking in coronavirus crash, data strongly suggests
No one knows if the recent rally represents a dead cat bounce or a genuine market bottom
There’s nothing normal about recent market activity
Permabears haven’t been slow to say ‘I told you so’ after fastest bear market in history
Seven of Buffett’s top nine holdings down between 34 and 44 per cent but he’s unlikely to be bothered
Goldman Sachs says the current apocalyptic mood won’t persist but not everyone agrees
Personal classification of risk and danger are key determinants of market behaviours
Investors shouldn’t mistake any ‘spirited rebound’ as evidence the coast is clear
Global stocks endure worst week since financial crisis as coronavirus hits markets
‘Even Elon would short the stock here if he was a fund manager’ – Citron Research
After a soaring decade for US stock market, returns could fall sharply in the new decade
Time for a pullback? In the bullish 1990s stocks enjoyed five further years of gains
Yield curve inversions’ reputation as a recession indicator is well deserved
Stocktake: Mega-cap stocks are driving global market gains
US bond market recently gave off a classic signal of a coming recession. Should investors be spooked?
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