Stocktake: US recession outlook is key for stocks
There’s a big difference between recessionary and non-recessionary bear markets
There’s a big difference between recessionary and non-recessionary bear markets
It generally pays investors to suspend their doubts at times like this
The bigger point may be that an inversion is not a near-term timing indicator
US bull market has doubled since bottoming in March 2020. Expect a lot less growth now
Last week the Vix fell below 30 for the first time in 11 trading days
History shows stocks usually take geopolitical events in their stride
History suggests this dip might be a good time to buy – but expect a volatile year ahead
Investors were lulled into complacency by 2021 but double-digit falls are normal
Earnings growth could be as high as 30% but there are signs of a more normal year ahead
History suggests odds stocks will rise in 202 are no different from any other year
Stocks have hit new all-time highs in every month so far this year
The bull market is clearly alive and well
Recent momentum augurs well for stocks as ‘strength is a bull’s best friend’
The next six months have historically proven lucrative, research shows
Global growth expectations have plummeted to lowest level since March 2020
Total of 412 of S&P 500’s constituents up this year despite September’s sell-off
Stocktake: September was difficult for stocks but investors cannot complain
Is it time for some seasonal slippage with S&P up seven months in a row?
Market volatility non-existent amid recurring new highs
‘Always expecting the market to collapse is a loss-making strategy’
Investors will hope the rally broadens out again, as a narrow market is not healthy
First half of 2021 was unusually strong for stocks, with new records in Europe
The S&P 500 has eking out only a 1 per cent gain since April
Historically, when S&P 500 is up 10% around May, rest of year ‘does really well’
Stocks continuing to go up so investors could see growth as unsustainable
Stocktake: Stocks have gained an astonishing 80% since bottoming out last year
S&P 500 gained 2.4 per cent at start of March before tumbling in following days
US 10-year yields jump from 0.5 per cent last August to almost 1.6 per cent
The S&P 500 gained 14.3% between election day and Biden’s inauguration
Indices had massive gains last month but that’s par for the course, says LPL Research
S&P 500 enjoys second-best post-election performance in history
History shows recovery swings are almost always followed by gains
Research shows the Dow has averaged annualised gains of 9.9% under Trump – right in line with historical averages
It has been a crazy, record-breaking year, with unprecedented twists and turns
Historical precedent suggests any reduction will be fleeting
Don’t make error of imagining high prices presage poor returns
Half the stocks in the S&P 1500 remain at least 20 per cent below their own highs
History suggests momentum will carry stocks higher in the coming months
First year when stocks gain after being down at least 30 per cent at some point
‘It is important to be aware that extreme strength usually begets more strength’
Big tech stocks lead way as S&P enjoys biggest 50-day gain ever despite pandemic
Some 97 per cent of S&P 500 stocks were trading above their 50-day moving average last week
Incredibly the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 is actually up 8% this year
Data from Strategas indicates advances augur well for future returns
Investors may need to be patient and assume that further twists and turns lie ahead
Global stocks endure worst week since financial crisis as coronavirus hits markets
Stocktake: Virus may cause economic upheaval, but also outbreaks of financialmediaitis
A year of big gains feels out of the ordinary but is actually quite common
Is buying at all-time highs a good idea, and has the Santa Claus rally come early?
Epic fall for world’s best-performing stock, and why humble CEOs are a smart bet
‘Easy part’ of rally is over, but stocks still retain potential to maintain rising profile
Global bull market may be under way, and why more rate cuts might not be good for Trump
Why things are looking up for global stock markets; and SoftBank backs WeWork
Crosswords & puzzles to keep you challenged and entertained
Inquests into the nightclub fire that led to the deaths of 48 people
How does a post-Brexit world shape the identity and relationship of these islands
Weddings, Births, Deaths and other family notices