Stocktake: US recession outlook is key for stocks
There’s a big difference between recessionary and non-recessionary bear markets
There’s a big difference between recessionary and non-recessionary bear markets
It generally pays investors to suspend their doubts at times like this
US bull market has doubled since bottoming in March 2020. Expect a lot less growth now
Last week the Vix fell below 30 for the first time in 11 trading days
History suggests this dip might be a good time to buy – but expect a volatile year ahead
Investors were lulled into complacency by 2021 but double-digit falls are normal
History suggests odds stocks will rise in 202 are no different from any other year
The bull market is clearly alive and well
Recent momentum augurs well for stocks as ‘strength is a bull’s best friend’
Global growth expectations have plummeted to lowest level since March 2020
Total of 412 of S&P 500’s constituents up this year despite September’s sell-off
Stocktake: September was difficult for stocks but investors cannot complain
Market volatility non-existent amid recurring new highs
‘Always expecting the market to collapse is a loss-making strategy’
The S&P 500 has eking out only a 1 per cent gain since April
Historically, when S&P 500 is up 10% around May, rest of year ‘does really well’
Stocks continuing to go up so investors could see growth as unsustainable
Stocktake: Stocks have gained an astonishing 80% since bottoming out last year
S&P 500 gained 2.4 per cent at start of March before tumbling in following days
Indices had massive gains last month but that’s par for the course, says LPL Research
S&P 500 enjoys second-best post-election performance in history
History shows recovery swings are almost always followed by gains
It has been a crazy, record-breaking year, with unprecedented twists and turns
Historical precedent suggests any reduction will be fleeting
History suggests momentum will carry stocks higher in the coming months
First year when stocks gain after being down at least 30 per cent at some point
‘It is important to be aware that extreme strength usually begets more strength’
Big tech stocks lead way as S&P enjoys biggest 50-day gain ever despite pandemic
Some 97 per cent of S&P 500 stocks were trading above their 50-day moving average last week
Incredibly the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 is actually up 8% this year
Data from Strategas indicates advances augur well for future returns
Investors may need to be patient and assume that further twists and turns lie ahead
Global stocks endure worst week since financial crisis as coronavirus hits markets
A year of big gains feels out of the ordinary but is actually quite common
The best forecasts are characterised by humility rather than certainty
Is buying at all-time highs a good idea, and has the Santa Claus rally come early?
Epic fall for world’s best-performing stock, and why humble CEOs are a smart bet
‘Easy part’ of rally is over, but stocks still retain potential to maintain rising profile
Global bull market may be under way, and why more rate cuts might not be good for Trump
A Trump trade deal ahead of 2020 presidential election now unlikely, says Goldman Sachs
Stocktake: Mega-cap stocks are driving global market gains
A record number of investors say the global economy is in its late-cycle stages
Fund managers are cautious but not gloomy while volatility spike augurs well for stocks
The overall picture suggests investors, burned badly in late 2018, still guarded
Data suggests investors shouldn’t be wary simply because stocks have been strong
It may be that this is a late-cycle bull market that isn’t quite finished yet
The 6.9% fall of the S&P 500 was its biggest monthly decline in seven years, while things were worse in tech-land with the Nasdaq plunging 9.25%
Scepticism over what would be the largest leveraged buyout ever is understandable
US administration will be keeping close eye on markets in the coming months
More ‘all-or-nothing days’, Trump ‘greatness’, and gains consolidated
CFD clampdown, US yield curve concerns and accepting end of S&P winning streak
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