Poll shows increased support for Lisbon treaty

Support for the Lisbon Treaty has grown over the past three months, despite the increasing unpopularity of the Government, according…

Support for the Lisbon Treaty has grown over the past three months, despite the increasing unpopularity of the Government, according to a new Irish Times/TNS mrbi poll.

The poll shows that 52 per cent would now vote Yes, an increase of 1 point since the last Irish Timespoll in February, while 29 per cent say they would vote No, a drop of 4 points.

The number of people in the “Don’t Know” category has increased to 19 per cent (up 3 points).

When undecided voters are excluded, the Yes side has 64.5 per cent, with 35.5 per cent in the No camp. That compares to the referendum result last June of 53.4 per cent No and 46.6 per cent Yes.

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The poll was conducted between Tuesday and Thursday of last week, among a representative sample of 2,000 voters in face-to-face interviews at 200 sampling points in all 43 constituencies.

The margin of error is 2 per cent.

As in previous polls support for the Yes side is strongest among better-off voters and there is still a significant gender difference with men more inclined to vote Yes than women.

Fianna Fáil voters are the most enthusiastic supporters of the Treaty by a margin of 65 per cent to 22 per cent.

Among Fine Gael voters there is also sold backing by a margin of 61 per cent to 24 per cent and there is also strong support among the Greens with 60 per cent in favour and 29 per cent in the No camp.

Although a majority of Labour Party supporters back the Treaty they are not as enthusiastic with 54 per cent Yes and 33 per cent No.

Sinn Féin the only party whose supporters still back the No campaign with 49 per cent against and 29 per cent in favour.

Full analysis included in tomorrow's Irish Times

Stephen Collins

Stephen Collins

Stephen Collins is a columnist with and former political editor of The Irish Times