Markets await clues from US Fed on policy direction

Markets report: Profit warning from Germany’s Lufthansa weighed on airline stocks

Federal Reserve Board chairman Jerome Powell: markets globally awaited clues from the US Federal Reserve on its policy direction
Federal Reserve Board chairman Jerome Powell: markets globally awaited clues from the US Federal Reserve on its policy direction

Stock markets dipped marginally on Monday, as a profit warning from Germany's Lufthansa weighed on airline stocks.

The airline forecast earnings before interest and tax of between €2 billion and €2.4 billion, compared with the previously targeted €2.4 billion to €3 billion, causing its shares to dip.

Meanwhile, markets globally awaited clues from the US Federal Reserve on its policy direction.

Dublin

The Irish index of shares fell 0.5 per cent over the day to end the session at 6,120.59. The market was dragged lower by weakness in airlines following the Lufthansa profit warning early in the day, with Ryanair down 4.4 per cent to €10.13.

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Home builders also suffered, with Glenveagh falling 1.9 per cent to 71 cent and Cairn Homes 1.8 per cent lower at €1.20, with traders indicating last week's residential property price data that showed the pace of property price growth has slowed to its lowest level since July 2013.

The State's largest landlord, Ires Reit, was up 3.3 per cent to €1.68.

Elsewhere, there was little news to move stocks. Banks were largely flat, with Bank of Ireland ending the day at €4.59 and AIB marginally off at €3.58.

London

London's main index inched up on Monday as rises in banking shares outweighed the impact of Lufthansa on airlines, while UK contractor Kier Group skidded to an all-time low. Both the FTSE 100 index and the FTSE 250 midcap index ended 0.2 per cent higher.

The Bank of England meets this week, with little expected but all eyes on central bank policymaking globally after two weeks in which hopes of policy easing have driven a stock market recovery from losses in May.

EasyJet and British Airways owner IAG gave up 4.4 per cent and 2.2 per cent respectively, on the main bourse after Lufthansa cut its 2019 profit outlook. Mid-cap component Wizz Air also dipped 2.6 per cent.

Kier, whose shares have plunged this month due to a report of a discounted sale of its unit and a profit warning, lost another 17.4 per cent, reaching a new all-time low, after the builder suspended dividend, and announced divestment plans and 1,200 job cuts.

Europe

European stock markets closed marginally lower on Monday. The pan-European STOXX 600 index finished 0.1 per cent lower. France’s CAC 40 was led higher by luxury stocks, while IT company Indra Sistemas’ 7.1 per cent slip took Spain’s IBEX 35 0.7 per cent lower.

The European travel and leisure sector underperformed other major European sectors as Lufthansa plunged 11.6 per cent and kept Germany's DAX pressured. The group lowered its profit outlook for the full year 2019, citing price competition from low cost rivals in Europe. "Lufthansa signalling a weak outlook is hitting all these bigger carriers and that's definitely one negative element this morning," said Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at IG.

Spain's Indra Sistemas fell after a media report said is to buy up to 75 per cent of ITP Aero from Rolls Royce for about €1 billion.

New York

Wall Street’s main indexes climbed higher on Monday, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq leading the pack, as investors awaited a crucial Federal Reserve meeting that is expected to lay the groundwork for an interest rate cut later this year.

The Fed is likely to leave borrowing costs unchanged at its two-day policy meeting starting Tuesday, but its policy statement will give insight into the impact of trade war, President Donald Trump’s push for rate cut and weaker economic data on the monetary policy.

Markets expect a cut in interest rates as early as July. The S&P 500 index has risen 5 per cent so far this month on this hope, but that rally petered out in the past week.

Banking stocks gained 0.37 per cent , while the broader S&P 500 financial sector edged up 0.13 per cent.

The Nasdaq Composite index rose after declining 0.5 per cent on Friday as shares of marquee companies such Facebook, Apple, Amazon. com, Microsoft and Alphabet rose between 0.5 per cent and 3 per cent.

Boeing Co gained 2.13 per cent and lifted the Dow higher, after the planemaker raised its rolling 20-year industry forecast for passenger aircraft to $6.8 trillion (€6.05 trillion).

Keeping the gains in check on the blue-chip index was a 3.27 per cent drop in shares of Dow Inc after brokerage BMO Capital Markets downgraded the chemicals maker’s stock to “market perform” on rising macro uncertainty.

Shares of Walt Disney Co dropped 0.59 per cent after a report that Imperial Capital had downgraded the entertainment conglomerate's shares to "in line". – Additional reporting: Bloomberg, Reuters

Ciara O'Brien

Ciara O'Brien

Ciara O'Brien is an Irish Times business and technology journalist